Politics

Trump says Greenland could be a “choice” against NATO, but the costs are huge

Trump Greenland NATO tensions rose again on 8 January 2026 after the USA president suggested that pursuing “ownership” of Greenland could come at the expense of preserving the NATO alliance. The remark, made in an interview published this week, landed in Europe at a moment of heightened anxiety: Washington has just carried out a high-profile military operation in Venezuela, and Danish and Greenlandic officials are preparing for a new round of talks with the Trump administration.

What Trump told the New York Times about Greenland and NATO

In the interview, Trump was asked what mattered more to him: acquiring Greenland or keeping NATO intact. He did not give a direct answer, but said it “could be” a choice between the two.

He also returned to a point he has made repeatedly since his first term: “ownership is very important”. He argued that owning territory gives a kind of strategic and political leverage that leases, treaties, or formal agreements cannot replicate.

For European allies, this matters less as a literal announcement than as a signal that NATO itself is being framed as leverage in a dispute involving a NATO member state, Denmark, and its autonomous territory, Greenland.

Image: Protest in Copenhagen // Nils Meilvang / NTB

Why Greenland “ownership” matters in Trump’s argument

Trump’s reasoning mixes three drivers that rarely sit comfortably together in international politics: strategic geography, resource competition, and a transactional view of alliances.

Greenland sits between Europe and North America and matters for Arctic security and missile warning. The USA already operates Pituffik Space Base (formerly Thule Air Base), a key node in surveillance and ballistic missile defence. That presence rests on agreements within the Kingdom of Denmark, including the 1951 Denmark–USA defence framework for Greenland.

This is why Trump’s emphasis on territorial acquisition has become the hardest element for diplomats to manage. If the goal was only operational access, the USA already has it. “Ownership” points in a different direction: it is about control, symbolism, and domestic politics.

Denmark and Greenland’s response: sovereignty, law, and public signals

Copenhagen’s position remains that Greenland is not for sale and that sovereignty is not negotiable. Denmark retains responsibility for foreign affairs and defence in the Kingdom of Denmark, even as Greenland governs most domestic policy under its Self-Government arrangements.

Greenland’s government has consistently insisted that the island’s future must be decided by Greenlanders. The Self-Government framework recognises Greenlanders as a people with a right to self-determination under international law.

The political pressure has also produced visible, symbolic gestures in Denmark. Greenland has become a focal point in public messaging in Copenhagen, including cultural and civic signals intended to show solidarity with Greenlanders and underline that the relationship inside the Kingdom is not only strategic, but political and historical.

Image: Greenland and Denmark flags // Adnkronos

A growing split inside Greenland’s politics on how to talk to Washington

One of the most sensitive developments is that Greenland’s internal debate is no longer only about Denmark, but also about how to handle Washington.

Some figures in Greenland’s opposition argue the island should engage the USA more directly and reduce Denmark’s role as intermediary. Others warn that direct talks cannot bypass the constitutional rules of the Kingdom, and that any negotiation involving defence and foreign policy must be coordinated with Copenhagen.

This matters because it affects how the Trump administration can probe divisions. If Washington frames the dispute as “Greenland versus Denmark”, it risks inflaming a long-standing independence discussion and making a coherent response harder for the Kingdom to sustain.

Inside NATO: withdrawal rules, Congress, and deterrence politics

Even if Trump uses NATO rhetorically as a bargaining chip, leaving NATO is not a simple executive choice.

NATO’s founding treaty includes a formal withdrawal clause: a member can leave only after giving notice, and membership ends one year after that notice. In the USA, the political and legal barriers are even higher. Recent legislation restricts unilateral presidential withdrawal from NATO without Senate supermajority consent or an act of Congress, and it also limits the use of federal funds for an unauthorised exit.

For Denmark, the stakes are existential. Danish leaders have warned that a military attempt by the USA to seize Greenland would end the alliance in practice, because NATO cannot function if members treat each other as potential adversaries. In Denmark, the debate has even reached old defence doctrine: Danish media have reported on a 1952 standing order, confirmed by the Defence Ministry, that requires Danish soldiers to respond immediately to an attack on Danish territory.

For other allies, the risk is broader. The credibility of NATO deterrence depends on trust that Article 5 is not conditional on unrelated political demands. If a USA president suggests that territorial claims could outrank alliance commitments, adversaries can exploit uncertainty, and allies may accelerate contingency planning outside NATO structures.

Image: Mette Frederiksen // Benoit Doppagne, Ritzau Scanpix

What happens next: Rubio talks, Arctic security, and the search for an off-ramp

The immediate test is whether the dispute can be pulled back into normal diplomacy.

Danish and Greenlandic officials are expected to meet the USA Secretary of State next week. NATO ambassadors have also discussed Greenland and Arctic security in Brussels, with allies signalling more focus on deterrence and presence in the High North.

For Europe, the underlying question is whether this crisis remains a contained dispute over rhetoric, or becomes a long-term stress test for NATO decision-making. If Trump keeps framing Greenland as a priority that could override alliance logic, European governments may respond by moving faster on defence spending, tightening EU and Nordic coordination, and seeking stronger legal and political safeguards around alliance commitments.

In Greenland, the debate is likely to continue to circle back to one central point: self-determination. The island’s politics cannot be reduced to a geopolitical chessboard. But the renewed pressure from Washington is forcing Nuuk, Copenhagen, and Europe to confront how fragile the current equilibrium becomes when power politics returns to the Arctic in blunt terms.

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