Politics

Denmark’s government talks move from Frederiksen to Venstre

Denmark is still without a new government almost seven weeks after the 2026 parliamentary election, and the process has now entered a new phase. King Frederik has asked Troels Lund Poulsen, leader of Venstre (Liberals), to lead fresh negotiations after acting Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen failed to form a government.

Troels Lund Poulsen gets the mandate after a new King’s Round

The decision followed a new King’s Round (kongerunde) at Amalienborg on 8 May, where all parties represented in the Folketing submitted their recommendation for a new royal investigator. This is the person tasked with exploring whether a government can be formed that does not face a parliamentary majority against it.

According to the Royal House, parties representing 87 seats recommended that Troels Lund Poulsen should lead negotiations. These were Venstre, Liberal Alliance, Dansk Folkeparti, Moderaterne, the Conservatives, Danmarksdemokraterne and Borgernes Parti.

On that basis, and after advice from Frederiksen herself, the King asked Lund Poulsen to lead talks on forming a government without participation from the Social Democrats and the Moderates. Danish political commentators noted, however, that this wording does not prevent him from speaking to all parties during the process.

Image: Troels Lund Poulsen // Emil Helms / Ritzau Scanpix

Why Frederiksen’s attempt failed

Frederiksen had been appointed royal investigator after the election, with support from the red bloc and a mandate to explore a government involving SF and Radikale Venstre. But after weeks of talks, she told the King that she had not been able to form a government.

Her failed attempt reflects the difficult arithmetic of the new Folketing. The Social Democrats remain the largest party, but they suffered their worst result since 1903. The red bloc is larger than the blue bloc, but still short of a majority. At the same time, the parties needed to support a centre-left or cross-centre cabinet have made incompatible demands.

Frederiksen acknowledged the risk of losing the prime minister’s office. Speaking to the press, she said the Danish voters had given the Social Democrats a weaker result and had composed a parliament in which a centre-right government might be possible. Asked what she expected to happen next, she replied that she did not know.

Image: Mette Frederiksen // DR

The parliamentary numbers remain difficult

The 2026 election produced one of the most fragmented parliaments in recent Danish politics. The red bloc holds 84 seats, while the blue bloc holds 77. The Moderates have 14 seats. A majority in the 179-seat Folketing requires 90 seats.

In Denmark, a government does not need to command an absolute majority from the start. Under the country’s system of negative parliamentarism, a cabinet can take office as long as there is no majority against it. This makes minority governments possible, but it also means that a prime minister must be able to survive a confidence test and pass legislation through agreements with other parties.

That is why the new mandate for Lund Poulsen matters. It does not make him prime minister. It only gives him the task of testing whether a government can be formed on terms that enough parties can tolerate.

Parties agree on Lund Poulsen, but not on the same government

The parties that pointed to Lund Poulsen do not all want the same outcome. Venstre and the Conservatives described the goal as a broadly based government capable of carrying out balanced reforms. Liberal Alliance wants a government with a centre-right prime minister. Danmarksdemokraterne wants a centre-right government focused on lower taxes, stricter immigration policy, rural balance and a more pragmatic green transition.

Dansk Folkeparti backed Lund Poulsen only on strict conditions. The party wants a centre-right government with an explicit goal of introducing measures that would lead to Muslim net emigration from Denmark, and without participation from either the Social Democrats or the Moderates.

The Moderates also backed Lund Poulsen, but from a very different starting point. They continue to advocate a government across the centre of parliament and have not abandoned the idea of broad cooperation.

This is the core contradiction of the new phase. Lund Poulsen has the mandate because several parties could agree on him as negotiator. But they have not agreed on the type of government he should form.

Image: Lars Løkke Rasmussen // DR

The red bloc is not giving up its own path

The parties behind Frederiksen’s earlier mandate still point in a different direction. The Social Democrats, SF, Enhedslisten, Radikale Venstre and Alternativet continue to favour a process led by Frederiksen.

SF still wants a centre-left government with its participation. Enhedslisten wants a government without centre-right parties. Radikale Venstre wants what it calls Denmark’s greenest government, working across the centre with Radical participation. Alternativet wants a red-green government, possibly including the Moderates.

That means the Folketing remains split into competing political logics: a centre-right attempt led by Venstre, a centre-left attempt around Frederiksen, and a cross-centre ambition promoted most clearly by the Moderates and Radikale Venstre.

Image: Pia Olsen Dyhr and Therese Berg Andersen // Emil Helms / Ritzau Scanpix

Analysis: a mandate without an obvious majority

Lund Poulsen’s appointment is a real political setback for Frederiksen, but it is not yet a clear victory for the blue bloc. The parties backing him control 87 seats, three short of an outright majority. Their internal divisions also make the task unusually complex.

The most difficult question is the role of the Moderates. The Royal House’s mandate refers to a government without the Social Democrats and the Moderates, reflecting the conditions attached by Dansk Folkeparti. But without the Moderates, a centre-right government has to rely on a narrower and more unstable parliamentary base.

At the same time, including the Moderates would create problems with Dansk Folkeparti, which has explicitly opposed their participation. This means Lund Poulsen must either soften vetoes, build a minority government that can survive without full bloc unity, or broaden the talks beyond the formula that brought him the mandate.

The result is paradoxical. Denmark has moved away from Frederiksen’s failed negotiations, but it has not moved towards a simple alternative. The new phase may test whether the centre-right can do what the centre-left could not: turn a fragmented parliament into a functioning government.

What happens now?

Lund Poulsen is expected to begin new talks with the parties in the coming days. He will have to clarify whether he is trying to form a narrow centre-right government, a broader reform government, or a cross-centre arrangement that includes parties outside the bloc that nominated him.

The process may still take time. TV 2’s political editor Hans Redder described the task as extremely difficult and suggested that more weeks could be added to what are already the longest government negotiations in Danish history.

For now, Denmark remains governed by a caretaker cabinet. The institutional process is working, but the political outcome remains uncertain. The next question is whether Venstre can build a government where the Social Democrats could not — or whether Denmark will need yet another round of negotiations before a new cabinet can finally take office.

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