Politics

EU extends temporary protection for Ukrainians until 2028

EU temporary protection for Ukrainians will remain in force until 4 March 2028, after member states agreed to prolong the emergency status by another year and introduce tighter conditions for some new applicants. The measure continues the protection created after Russia’s full-scale invasion in February 2022, while preparing a gradual transition towards national residence permits or voluntary return when conditions allow.

EU temporary protection extended for another year

The Council of the European Union agreed on 15 July to extend the scheme from March 2027 until 4 March 2028.

Temporary protection allows eligible people displaced from Ukraine to obtain residence rights without undergoing an individual asylum procedure. Depending on national legislation, beneficiaries can access employment, accommodation, healthcare, education and social assistance.

The mechanism was activated in March 2022 for the first time since the EU Temporary Protection Directive was adopted in 2001. According to Eurostat, 4.38 million people were covered by temporary protection across the EU at the end of May 2026. More than 98 per cent were Ukrainian citizens, while almost three in ten beneficiaries were minors.

Germany and Poland continue to host the largest groups, with around 1.28 million and 968,000 beneficiaries respectively.

New conditions linked to Ukrainian military obligations

The extension introduces a more restrictive approach for some people arriving in the EU after the new rules enter into force.

Member states agreed that temporary protection should generally be granted only to applicants who are complying with their military obligations under Ukrainian law. The European Commission’s proposal specified that protection should not normally be granted to newly arriving people who have not been authorised by Ukrainian authorities to leave the country because of those obligations.

Applicants may therefore be required to demonstrate that they left Ukraine legally, for example through a passport containing an exit stamp or another official document.

The conditions are expected to apply to new applicants, rather than people who already hold temporary protection. Their practical application will depend partly on decisions taken by individual EU governments.

The change reflects an attempt to balance two objectives: continuing to protect people displaced by the war and recognising Ukraine’s need to maintain its defence capacity.

Finland prepares to implement the updated rules

In Finland, the Ministry of the Interior said the new requirements would not affect Ukrainians who have already received protection in the country, according to Yle.

The Finnish government is expected to decide on the national implementation of the extension on 6 August.

Finland is also preparing for a longer-term transition away from emergency protection. Around 7,500 Ukrainians have already applied for existing national residence permits. This includes approximately 4,300 permits based on employment and 2,800 based on family ties, according to the ministry figures reported by Yle.

No separate permanent EU residence category specifically for Ukrainians is currently being developed. Those wishing to remain after temporary protection ends will instead need to qualify under existing national routes, including permits based on work, education or family relationships.

Sweden is opening routes to longer-term residence

Sweden has already changed its legislation to make the transition easier for some beneficiaries.

Since 11 June 2026, people living in Sweden under the Temporary Protection Directive have been able to apply for certain other residence permits without leaving the country.

Eligible applicants can seek permits for employment, self-employment, research, higher education or an EU Blue Card. Previously, several of these permits generally had to be requested and approved before entering Sweden.

The Swedish Migration Agency (Migrationsverket) has based its latest forecasts on the expectation that temporary protection will continue until March 2028. It currently expects around 10,000 applications from Ukrainians in 2026, although future arrivals remain difficult to predict.

Norway has adopted stricter national rules

Norway is not bound by the EU Temporary Protection Directive, but operates a comparable national system of temporary collective protection.

The country has already introduced conditions resembling the EU’s new approach. Since 5 May 2026, Ukrainian men aged between 18 and 60 have generally not been eligible for collective protection in Norway.

Exceptions include men who can prove that they are permanently exempt from military service, those who have sole responsibility for accompanying children and people arriving through medical evacuation programmes.

The restriction does not apply retroactively to most people who already received collective protection. Norwegian permits are issued for one year at a time and can currently be extended for a total period of up to five years.

Europe is preparing for the end of emergency protection

The latest extension offers displaced Ukrainians another year of legal certainty, but it also confirms that European governments are moving from an emergency reception model towards longer-term decisions on residence and return.

The Council has endorsed a gradual and coordinated transition based on access to existing residence permits, voluntary return programmes and support for reintegration in Ukraine when security conditions make return possible.

For the Nordic countries, the next phase will combine shared European principles with different national systems. Finland and Sweden will implement the EU framework, while Norway and other non-EU Nordic countries will continue to determine protection through their own legislation.

The main unresolved question is what will happen after March 2028. That decision will depend not only on the situation in Ukraine, but also on whether European countries can create clear legal routes for people who have built lasting family, educational and professional ties during their years of displacement.

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