Politics

The European Parliament is voting on the EU-USA trade deal, but with safeguards

The European Parliament vote on the EU-USA trade deal is due on Thursday as MEPs decide whether to back Parliament’s position on two legislative proposals that would implement the tariff part of the 2025 EU-USA Turnberry agreement. The debate is scheduled for the morning in Brussels, with votes set for the 11:00–13:00 slot. The file has become one of the most politically sensitive trade dossiers in the chamber, because many lawmakers want to preserve transatlantic trade while avoiding a deal that could leave the EU exposed to further tariff pressure from Washington.

What Parliament is voting on today

The plenary agenda shows a joint debate on the EU-USA trade deal between 09:00 and 10:50, followed by votes later in the morning. The two reports, both led by Bernd Lange of the Socialists and Democrats, concern the adjustment of customs duties and tariff quotas for certain goods from the United States, and the non-application of customs duties on some imports.

This is an important procedural step, but it is not yet the final entry into force of the tariff package. Thursday’s vote is meant to define Parliament’s position before negotiations with EU member states. In practice, MEPs are deciding under which conditions they are willing to let the EU move forward on the trade part of the wider political understanding reached by Brussels and Washington in 2025.

Why the Turnberry deal remains controversial

The background to the vote is the Turnberry deal, the political agreement announced in July 2025 and detailed in an August joint EU-USA statement. Under that framework, the EU would remove tariffs on all USA industrial goods and grant preferential market access for a broad range of USA seafood and agricultural products, including nuts, dairy products, fruit and vegetables, processed foods, soybean oil, pork and bison meat. The arrangement would also extend the earlier tariff deal on lobster products.

In return, the United States committed to apply the higher of its most-favoured-nation tariff or a 15% tariff on most EU goods, while keeping separate arrangements for sectors such as steel, aluminium and some strategic products. The European Commission, acting as the EU executive, has presented the package as a way to stabilise a volatile trade relationship. But critics inside Parliament argue that the balance remains uneven, because the EU is being asked to cut tariffs while still facing significant uncertainty over how Washington may apply or reinterpret its own commitments.

Image: Ursula von der Leyen and Donald Trump, Turnberry, Scotland, Friday, July 27, 2025 // Official White House Photo by Daniel Torok

The safeguards MEPs want before giving their backing

Last week, Parliament’s International Trade Committee endorsed the file by 29 votes to 9, with 1 abstention, but only after adding a tougher set of safeguards. Those amendments are now central to the plenary vote.

The first is a suspension clause. Parliament wants the EU to be able to halt tariff preferences for USA products immediately if the United States introduces new tariffs on the EU or on one of its member states. The second is a sunrise clause, under which the EU could adopt the legislation, but the new tariff preferences would only start to apply once the USA is effectively respecting its commitments.

MEPs also want stronger protection on steel-related trade. According to the committee text, one condition is that tariffs on EU products containing less than 50% steel or aluminium must be reduced from 50% to 15% before the regulation can take effect. The parliamentary line also refers to a broader safety package including a sunset clause, a standstill provision and a safeguard mechanism.

A wider test of EU trade strategy

The vote goes beyond tariff technicalities. It reflects a wider EU debate about how to manage trade relations with the United States at a time when the bloc is also trying to diversify its economic partnerships. In recent weeks, the EU has accelerated trade diplomacy with partners such as Australia and Mercosur, partly to reduce vulnerability in an international environment marked by tariff disputes, geopolitical pressure and growing industrial competition.

For Parliament, the central question is whether a guarded form of engagement with Washington is preferable to renewed escalation. Supporters of the file say the package could still provide a degree of predictability for companies trading across the Atlantic. Opponents argue that predictability is limited if the USA can still change the effective tariff burden through new measures or surcharges.

Image: Donald Trump // Kevin Lamarque / Reuters / NTB

Other votes on migration and AI in the same sitting

The trade vote is one of the headline items in Thursday’s plenary, but not the only one attracting attention. MEPs are also voting on whether to open negotiations on a new EU return law for third-country nationals staying illegally in the bloc, and on amendments to the AI Act that would ban systems used to create sexually explicit synthetic images of real people without consent.

Taken together, the agenda underlines how the Brussels sitting is combining three politically sensitive themes in one day: trade, migration and artificial intelligence. The outcome on the EU-USA trade deal will be watched especially closely, because it will show whether Parliament is ready to move ahead with the file — but only on terms designed to give the EU leverage if the transatlantic bargain shifts again.

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